R
eserve Bank is unlikely to soften its monetary stance in its policy review later this month due to high inflation even though sluggishness in industrial output growth for May calls for cut in policy rates, say experts.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is guided by inflationary expectations. Inflation is expected to remain high, HDFC Bank chief economist Abheek Barua said.
"I do not think there will be either infusion of liquidity or cut in policy rates by the RBI in its quarterly policy review," he said.
Crisil chief economist Deepak Joshi said, "Monetary policy is not going to be changed. I think RBI will keep it on hold. Going by the assessment of the economy, I think there will not be any rate cut."
The index of industrial production (IIP)-- gauge of industrial activity in terms of production -- showed a just 2.4% growth in May. It was much below than 6.2% growth during the same month a year earlier.
However, IIP numbers for May are better than the previous month's 0.9% contraction.
HSBC Global Research said though IIP picked up on an improved sequential momentum and last year's low base, inflation is still high.
"Growth remains moderate and will remain constrained going ahead, but high
